The REAL Reason Behind Declining Foreclosure Filings
Conflicting reports in the media may have some homeowners at a loss as to what is really happening in these troubling financial times. Reports of a steep decline in foreclosure filings had many hopeful that the housing crisis may be heading towards recovery, but experts warn that the underlying conditions in the housing market have not yet improved.
With a 15% decline in February for New York foreclosures, and 27% nationwide, the country experienced a 3-year low compared to 2010. In February, default notices, auctions and seizures all fell, according to a report by RealtyTrac.
Some experts are attributing the decline in February to the backlog of filings due to the ‘robosigning’ controversy in the industry. Investigations into the foreclosure process resulted in a big drop in activity as banks and servicers work through the mess they got themselves into due to poor procedures. Lenders are now working to re-file paperwork that was initially improperly done.
Dr. Barbara van Kerkhove, Research and Policy Analyst at the Empire Justice Center recently published an exhaustive report on New York’s foreclosure crisis. The report indicates that the state is nowhere near the end of the foreclosure crisis, which now includes those homeowners with good credit and prime loans.
A recent article in The Daily Record quoted Van Kerkhove as saying the number of loans 90-plus days past due exceeds the number of pending foreclosures in every county of New York state, meaning a flood of new filings is forthcoming.
According to an article in the Business Review, Nearly 69,000 home loans in New York are at imminent risk of foreclosure, a situation that an advocacy group said today could lead to a “tsunami” of foreclosures over the next year or two.
Rueters recently reported on the decline as well, quoting Rick Sharga, senior vice president at RealtyTrac; “The drop-off was too severe to be organic. There’s nothing in the underlying conditions that are causing foreclosures to suggest they should be going down yet.”
And so it seems we aren’t out of the woods just yet, despite the recent decline in filings.
I will continue to follow and report on the current housing crisis, foreclosure trends and legislation. If you or somebody you know is at risk of foreclosure, I can help—please contact me.
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